Crown Green HandicapFairPlay Bowls
Live
Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
Back to Players
Crown Green Handicap

Karl Melling

Team: PoliceDivision: Division 2Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

956

Current Handicap

9
Honours
Season:

57

Matches Played

33

Wins

24

Losses

58%

Win Rate

10.1

Avg Win Margin

7.5

Avg Loss Margin

21-6

Home Record

12-18

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
49 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 9/1/2026

A large recent sample: 49 matches in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 41-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins33/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS
2026
Home Dominance10/10 home

Handicap Trend

All Time · 57 matches

+9 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

25 Jul14 May6 Aug17 Jun19 Aug5 May23 Jun1 Sept-14916

Gives 9 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current9
Win Percentage(40%)
61%
score+0.22→contribution+0.09
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
9.9
score+0.32→contribution+0.08
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
6.7
score+0.22→contribution+0.03
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
75%
score+0.50→contribution+0.05
Opponent Strength(10%)
870
score+0.09→contribution+0.01
Weighted Score+0.261
Sample Size Confidence
100%(49/41 matches)
Rating1078 → shrunk 1078→ adjusted 974
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)928
Recency Blend40% (49 recent matches)
Final Rating956
Handicap
9

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

33W24L57 matches·57.9% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Police2025–2026Division 234241070.6%
Windle BC2023–2025Division 12391439.1%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
9/1/2026John McElroyH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 2
8/26/2026Robert AngusA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision 2
8/25/2026Richard MartlandA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
8/18/2026Ben WinstanleyH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 2
8/11/2026Phil WatkinsonH21-4WIN+17LeagueDivision 2
7/28/2026Mal GradyH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 2
7/21/2026Ronnie MillsA21-4WIN+17LeagueDivision 2
6/30/2026Steve SmithH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 2
6/23/2026Neil LynchA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 2
6/16/2026Brian ForsythH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 2
6/9/2026P MooreA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 2
6/2/2026Andrew ValentineA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 2
5/26/2026Gordon DerbyshireH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 2
5/19/2026Alan CarrA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
5/12/2026Tony PilkingtonH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 2
5/5/2026Gary IrelandA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
4/28/2026Ian ManchesterH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
4/21/2026Steve BrackleyA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
4/14/2026Keith MitchinsonH21-4WIN+17LeagueDivision 2
4/7/2026Jason WalshA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 2
9/2/2025Mike SmithH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 2
8/26/2025Kevin MarshA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 2
8/19/2025Ryan TeelingH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 2
8/12/2025Peter BannonA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 2
8/5/2025Mike WarburtonH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
7/29/2025Dave RahmanH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 2
7/15/2025Paul LeylandH21-3WIN+18LeagueDivision 2
7/8/2025Alan CarrA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
7/1/2025Ernie HarrisonH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 2
6/24/2025John HallA21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 2
6/17/2025Danny EustaceH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 2
6/10/2025Chris TarbuckA21-4WIN+17LeagueDivision 2
6/3/2025John CorlessH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 2
5/27/2025Paul CulleyA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 2
4/22/2025Walter MillerA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 1
4/15/2025Joe JacksonH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 1
9/3/2024Mark HoldenH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 1
8/28/2024David SwainA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 1
8/6/2024Ian LallyA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 1
7/23/2024Ian PalmerA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 1
7/9/2024Connor FlahertyA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 1
7/2/2024Jeff BarlowH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 1
6/18/2024Anthony MaleyH5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision 1
6/11/2024P MooreA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 1
5/28/2024John BartonH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 1
5/14/2024Geoff FosterH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 1
4/23/2024Dean MidgleyA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 1
4/16/2024Roy WaringH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 1
4/9/2024Brian PearceA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 1
9/12/2023Alan TaylorA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 1
9/5/2023P CleggA1-21LOSS-20LeagueDivision 1
8/29/2023Alan BarkerH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 1
7/25/2023Mike HavernA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 1
7/18/2023Andy WilkinsonH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 1
6/27/2023Arthur HaggertyA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 1
5/9/2023Harvey BirchA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 1
4/25/2023Ged BrownA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 1

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

6

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

5

Career worst losing streak

Last 580% win rate
WLWWW
Last 1080% win rate— steady
WLWWWWWWLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
P Moore0220%6/9/2026
Alan Carr0220%5/19/2026
John McElroy101100%9/1/2026
Robert Angus0110%8/26/2026
Richard Martland101100%8/25/2026
Ben Winstanley101100%8/18/2026
Phil Watkinson101100%8/11/2026
Mal Grady101100%7/28/2026
Ronnie Mills101100%7/21/2026
Steve Smith101100%6/30/2026
Biggest Win
Paul Leyland (+18)7/15/2025
Heaviest Defeat
P Clegg (-20)9/5/2023
Best Season
202675% · 20 matches
Worst Season
202446% · 13 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
43% → 72%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
87657 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-80% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
33-1667% win rate

By Division

Division 224-10 (71%)
Division 19-14 (39%)
Division 139.1%
9W·14L·23 played
Division 270.6%
24W·10L·34 played

Debut

Apr 25, 2023

Latest

Sep 1, 2026

Seasons Active

4 (3.4 yr span)

Matches / Season

14.3 (57 total)

Seasons

2023202420252026